Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.350337 3.737325 4.156841 4.646360 5.203078 5.817895 6.550164
2025-02-16 2.775045 3.292200 3.893747 4.648872 5.576613 6.685796 8.122138
2025-02-23 2.424651 3.010835 3.729533 4.683219 5.926958 7.509667 9.701393
2025-03-02 2.109389 2.713917 3.486256 4.557198 6.022371 7.983963 10.855247
2025-03-09 1.893753 2.511028 3.327882 4.504384 6.182680 8.532612 12.147346
2025-03-16 1.717520 2.337647 3.183802 4.443877 6.309325 9.028428 13.403755
2025-03-23 1.641004 2.290935 3.204662 4.610808 6.770604 10.048196 15.568735
2025-03-30 1.525809 2.176690 3.115450 4.601621 6.958594 10.664097 17.163466
2025-04-06 1.418066 2.062915 3.014787 4.561198 7.087009 11.190275 18.665732
2025-04-13 1.274402 1.883503 2.799701 4.319956 6.863931 11.110484 19.096374
2025-04-20 1.205850 1.813322 2.746153 4.330538 7.054109 11.740608 20.874830
2025-04-27 1.163281 1.779903 2.746642 4.427775 7.397777 12.669743 23.332162
2025-05-04 1.114601 1.734760 2.727164 4.493779 7.701268 13.575857 25.912057
2025-05-11 1.066213 1.686579 2.698890 4.541838 7.977350 14.464060 28.597483
2025-05-18 1.021102 1.640314 2.669734 4.584585 8.246132 15.367160 31.454098
2025-05-25 0.952074 1.548822 2.556151 4.463408 8.188111 15.612776 32.903402
2025-06-01 0.900653 1.484002 2.484093 4.412197 8.259876 16.127256 35.037248
2025-06-08 0.852312 1.421380 2.411402 4.353176 8.308958 16.597471 37.138888
2025-06-15 0.840376 1.422134 2.452463 4.516213 8.828578 18.141713 42.121438
2025-06-22 0.804881 1.378216 2.408367 4.507245 8.984779 18.897777 45.242768
2025-06-29 0.767882 1.329285 2.351570 4.467771 9.070607 19.502035 48.069666
2025-07-06 0.708361 1.235517 2.204360 4.232160 8.702677 19.001375 47.808305
2025-07-13 0.683497 1.205106 2.176585 4.242496 8.886986 19.844304 51.457731